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Discarded.AI

Microsoft WINS - openai clearly doesn't

are openAI just about to become a Microsoft?

Alan Robertson's avatar
Alan Robertson
Oct 29, 2025
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If we read between the lines of the two announcements on 28th October on OPENAI and Microsoft continued partnership, there is something really interesting.

Its not a partnership, it is probably a desperate attempt by OpenAI to say relevant.

Microsoft Announcement: The next chapter of the Microsoft–OpenAI partnership

OpenAI Announcement: The next chapter of the Microsoft–OpenAI partnership

Even the Blog titles put Microsoft first

What are they saying and not saying:

Microsoft and OpenAI published two statements on the same day announcing “the next chapter” of their partnership. On paper, they describe the same deal. In tone, detail, and intent they describe very different worlds.


What They Agree On

Both companies want the world to see this as continuity, not crisis.

  • A shared origin story: Since 2019, they’ve advanced “AI responsibly” and made its “benefits broadly accessible.” Both use identical phrasing — a sign that comms teams coordinated core messaging.

  • A recapitalisation and restructure: OpenAI will form a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) under the control of a new non-profit Foundation. Microsoft becomes a major shareholder in this new structure, holding around 27% of OpenAI Group PBC — a stake valued at roughly $135 billion.

  • A partnership that endures: OpenAI remains Microsoft’s frontier model partner. Azure retains exclusivity for API products.

  • An eye on AGI: Both mention Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as the long-term milestone and both hint that “appropriate safety guardrails” will apply once it is reached.

  • A joint commitment to responsibility: Each uses the language of “responsible AI,” “public benefit,” and “broad accessibility.”

On the surface, the two narratives appear aligned: a responsible, mutually beneficial evolution of a historic partnership.

But under that alignment, the differences are telling.

Analysis

This is what the announcements are actually saying

1. Capital and Asset Risk

  • Microsoft converts earlier investment into an equity stake worth roughly $135 billion (27 %). That’s paper value, not new cash outlay.

  • OpenAI assumes a $250 billion contractual commitment to Azure services a direct, multi-year cost exposure.

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